Publications

Several of the publications listed below are pre-registered and/or have publicly available replication files. These are linked to in the references, but a general overview can also be found on my OSF-page and on Dataverse.

Articles in peer-reviewed journals

(Note: feel free to reach out to me if you have trouble accessing any of the articles listed below)

(61) Stiers, D. (forthcoming). Electoral Input and Political Legitimacy. West European Politics, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2521591

(60) Stiers, D., & Singh, S. (forthcoming). Does Compulsory Voting Improve Democratic Attitudes and Engagement? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Belgium. Public Opinion Quarterly, accepted.

(59) Stiers, D., & De Grauwe, C. (forthcoming). Economic Voting in European Elections: Explaining Abstention and Support for Eurosceptic Parties. European Union Politics, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/14651165261423090

(58) Stiers, D. & Hooghe, M. (forthcoming). Who Decides What are Second-Order Elections? A Study of Ticket-Splitting in Simultaneous Federal and Regional Elections in Belgium. Regional & Federal Studies, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13597566.2025.2496883

(57) Verachtert, S., Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (forthcoming). Ideological and Electoral Preferences of Teachers: A Survey Among Secondary School Teachers in the Flemish Region of Belgium. Education, Citizenship and Social Justice, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/17461979251322948

(56) Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2026). Is it Possible to Predict Electoral Abstention on the Individual Level? A Preregistered Test on Forecasting the Effects of Abolishing Compulsory Voting in Belgium. International Journal of Forecasting, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.05.002. Replication materials. Pre-registration.

(55) Reuse, R., & Stiers, D. (2026). Finding your Perfect Match Nearby. A Test of Proximity and Issue Salience Voting in Local Elections. Electoral Studies, 99, art. 103044. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2026.103044

(54) Stiers, D. (2025). Why do Voters Support Niche Parties? Party Politics, 31(5), 881-891. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/13540688241273930

(53) Stiers, D., & Dassonneville, R. (2025). How Parties can Shape Their Competence Reputations: Issue Attention, Position, and Performance. European Journal of Political Research, 64(3), 1095-1119. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12730. Replication materials. Pre-registration.

(52) Hooghe, D., & Stiers, D. (2025). Abolishing Compulsory Voting: The 2024 Experience in the Flemish Region of Belgium. PS: Political Science & Politics, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096525000423. Replication materials.

(51) Stiers, D., Hooghe, M. (2025). No Longer “Walloon Exceptionalism”. The Decline of Leftist Parties in the Walloon Region of Belgium, 2014-2024. French Politics, 23, 244-266. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41253-025-00276-5  

(50) Goubin, S., Lau, R. R., Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2025). The Role of Education in Political Information Processing and Correct Voting: Inequality at the Voting Booth? Political Behavior, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-024-09997-9

(49) De Grauwe, C., Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2025). Who Misses the Bare Necessities? Material Deprivation as an Indicator for Egotropic Economic Voting. International Political Science Review, in press. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1177/01925121241305353

(48) Stiers, D., Hooghe, M., & Pauli, W. (2025). Lower Support for Redistribution and Progressive Taxes among Young Adults in Belgium. European Politics and Society, in press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23745118.2025.2459725

(47) Breitenstein, S., Kenny, J., Larner, J., Stiers, D., & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (2025). The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency; Causality, and the Vote. Polity, 57(2), 240-252. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/734478

(46) Stals, L., Stiers, D., & Kern, A. (2025). Political Trust and Electoral Behavior Among 16- and 17-Year-Old First-Time-Voters in Belgium. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 37(3), edaf026. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edaf026

(45) Breznau, N., …, Stiers, D., et al. (2025). The Reliability of Replications: A Study in Computational Reproductions. Royal Society Open Science, 12(3), 241038. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.241038. Pre-registration. Replication materials.

(44) Hooghe, M., De Grauwe, C., & Stiers, D. (2025). Gender Differences in Multidimensional Material Deprivation. A Comparative Analysis of the Role of Household Composition and Education Level. Heliyon, 11(11), e43455. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e43455. Replication materials.

(43) Okolikj, M., Goubin, S., Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2024). Trust in Political Parties and Ideological Proximity Voting in European: The Role of Trust in Political Parties as a Heuristic Mechanism. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 34(1), 116-135. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2113088

(42) Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2024). What is the Best Way to Measure Anti-Immigrant Sentiments? Comparative Sociology, 23(6), 782-798. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1163/15691330-bja10126

(41) Verachtert, S., & Stiers, D. (2024). The heterogeneous effects of an education for sustainable development intervention in schools: Evidence from a Belgian panel study. Environmental Education Research, 30(3), 462-478. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504622.2022.2128062

(40) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2023). Are There Historical Continuities in the Geographical Spread of Radical Voting? A Comparison of the 1936 and 2019 Election Results in the Flemish Region of Belgium. GeoJournal, 88(6), 5743-5755. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-023-10936-0

(39) Stiers, D. (2023). ). How do Voters Evaluate Performance in Opposition? Government & Opposition, 58(4), 725-744. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2021.63

(38) Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2023). Toward an Ever Looser Union? Investigating Diverging Trends in Public Opinion in Three Divided Societies. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 56(3), 681-697. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S000842392300029X

(37) Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2023). The Neighbourhood Effect in Economic Voting. The Effect of Local Unemployment Figures on National Economic Perceptions and Incumbent Voting in Belgium, 2009-2019. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties, 33(4), 644-663. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2021.1970577

(36) Hooghe, M., Stiers, D., & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (2023). Has the Electoral College Grown More Disproportional? An Analysis of Election Results, 1876–2020. Politics & Policy, 51(2), 167-183. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12521

(35) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2023). Do Postal Stamps (Still) Lead to a Higher Response Rate? An Empirical test in Belgium. Field Methods, 35(1), 64-72. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1525822X211072350

(34) Stiers, D. (2022). Spatial and Valence Models of Voting: The Effects of the Political Context. Electoral Studies, 80, art. 102549. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102549

(33) Breznau, N., …, Stiers, D., et al. (2022). Observing Many Researchers Using the Same Data and Hypothesis Reveals a Hidden Universe of Uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 199(44), e2203150119. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203150119. Pre-registration.

(32) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2022). Nationalist Identities, Preferences and Voting for Sub-State Nationalist Parties in the Flemish Region of Belgium. Nations & Nationalism, 28(4), 1356-1378. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1111/nana.12863

(31) Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2022). Ethnic Diversity, Anti-Immigrant Sentiments, and Radical Right Voting in the Flemish Region of Belgium. Swiss Political Science Review, 28(3), 496-515. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/spsr.12512. Replication materials.

(30) Verachtert, S., Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2022). Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Reduce Attention to Environmental Issues? A Panel Study among parents in Belgium, 2019-2020. . Politics of the Low Countries 4(1), 100-115. DOI: 10.5553/PLC/.000031

(29) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2022). A Tale of Two Regions: An Analysis of Two Decades of Belgian Public Opinion. Publius: The Journal of Federalism, 52(4), 655-674. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/publius/pjab039

(28) Stiers, D., Hooghe, M., Goubin, S., & Lewis-Beck, M. (2022). Support for Progressive Taxation: Self-Interest (Rightly Understood), Ideology, and Political Sophistication. Journal of European Public Policy, 29(4), 550-567. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2020.1866054 . Replication materials.

(27) Stiers, D. (2022). Performance Voting, Retrospective Voting, and Economic Voting. Conceptual Clarity and Empirical Testing. Social Science Quarterly, 103(2), 339-408. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.13125

(26) Otjes, S., & Stiers, D. (2022). Accountability and Alternation. How Wholesale and Partial  Alternation Condition Retrospective Voting. Party Politics, 28(3), 457-467. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068820985100

(25) Feitosa, F., Stiers, D., & Dassonneville, R. (2022). A Cause or a Consequence? A Quasi-Experimental Test of the Duty-Participation Nexus. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 32(2), 439-448. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2020.1819299

(24) Hooghe, M. & Stiers, D. (2022). Political Discussion Begins at Home. Household Dynamics Following the Enfranchisement of Adolescent Children. Applied Developmental Science, 26(1), 141-154. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10888691.2020.1712207

(23) Stiers, D., Hooghe, M., & Dassonneville, R. (2021). Voting at 16: Does Lowering the Voting Age Lead to More Political Engagement? Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment in the City of Ghent (Belgium). Political Science Research & Methods, 9(4), 849-856. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.8. Replication materials.

(22) Stiers, D., & Kern, A. (2021). Cyclical Accountability. Public Choice, 189(1-2), 31-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-020-00856-9

(21) Esteban, I., & Stiers, D. (2021). Same Problems, Different Solutions. Stealth Democracy and the Vote for a Populist Party. Scandinavian Political Studies, 44(3), 245-267. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9477.12196

(20) Stiers, D., Larner, J., Kenny, J., Breitenstein, S., Vallée-Dubois, F., & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (2021). Candidate Authenticity: “To thine own self be true”. Political Behavior, 43(3), 1181-1204. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-019-09589-y. Replication materials.

(19) Stiers, D. & Hooghe, M. (2021). A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words. A Visual Test of Political Knowledge: Does it Reduce the Effect of Age and Gender? International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 33(1), 137-146. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edz052

(18) Stiers, D. (2021). Political Information and Retrospective Voting. West European Politics, 44(2), 275-298. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2019.1697564

(17) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2021). Regional Identity and Support for Restrictive Ethnic Citizenship Requirements. Evidence From A Population Household Survey in Ghent (Belgium). Ethnic and Racial Studies, 44(4), 698-717. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01419870.2020.1782962

(16) Goubin, S., Hooghe, M., Okolikj, M., & Stiers, D. (2020) Economic Inequality and Electoral Accountability: Inequality and Differences in Economic Voting in Western Democracies. Comparative European Politics, 18(5), 793–818. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-020-00209-2

(15) Stiers, D., Dassonneville, R., & Lewis-Beck, M. S. (2020). The Abiding Voter: The Lengthy Horizon of Retrospective Evaluations. European Journal of Political Research, 59(3), 646-668. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12360. Replication materials.

(14) Stiers, D., Hooghe, M., & Goubin, S. (2020). Are 16-Year-Olds Able to Cast a Congruent Vote? Evidence From a “Voting at 16” initiative in the city of Ghent (Belgium). Electoral Studies, 63, art. 102107. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2019.102107

(13) Stiers, D., & Dassonneville, R. (2020). Retrospective Voting and the Polarisation of Available Alternatives. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 53(1), 99-115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0008423919000556

(12) Stiers, D. (2019). Beyond the Distinction Between Incumbency and Opposition: Retrospective Voting on the Level of Political Parties. Party Politics, 25(6), 805-816. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068817744201

(11) Stiers, D. (2019). Static and Dynamic Models of Retrospective Voting. A Clarification and Application to the Individual Level. Politics & Policy, 47(5), 859-876. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12324

(10) Stiers, D., & Dassonneville, R. (2019). Do Volatile Voters Vote Less Correctly? An Analysis of Correct Voting Among Vote (Intention) Switchers in US Presidential Election Campaigns. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 29(3), 283-298. Doi:  https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2018.1515210

(9) Dassonneville, R., Feitosa, F., Hooghe, M., Lau, R. R., & Stiers, D. (2019). Compulsory Voting Rules, Reluctant Voters, and Ideological Proximity Voting. Political Behavior, 41(1), 209-230. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-018-9448-6. Replication materials.

(8) Stiers, D. (2019). Retrospective Voting on the Party Level: An Icelandic Test. Scandinavian Journal of Political Science, 42(1), 73-83. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9477.12132

(7) Stiers, D., Daoust, J.-F., & Blais, A. (2018). What Makes People Believe that Their Party Won the Election? Electoral Studies, 55, 21–29. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2018.07.002

(6) Stiers, D., & Dassonneville, R. (2018). Affect Versus Cognition: Wishful Thinking on Election Day. An Analysis Using Exit Poll Data From Belgium. International Journal of Forecasting, 34(2), 199-2015. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.12.001

(5) Dassonneville, R., & Stiers, D. (2018). Electoral Volatility in Belgium (2009-2014). Is There a Difference Between Stable and Volatile Voters? Acta Politica, 53(1), 68-97. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41269-016-0038-5

(4) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D (2017). Do Reluctant Voters Vote Less Accurately? The Effect of Compulsory Voting on Party-Voter Congruence in Australia and Belgium. Australian Journal of Political Science, 52(1), 75-94. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/10361146.2016.1260685

(3) Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2016). Elections as a Democratic Linkage Mechanism: How Elections Boost Political Trust in a Proportional System. Electoral Studies, 44, 46-55. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2016.08.002

(2) Stiers, D. & Hooghe, M. (2016). De Invloed van Verkiezingen op Politiek Vertrouwen. Een Analyse van een Verkiezingspanel in België, 2009-2014. Res Publica: Tijdschrift voor Politicologie, 58(3), 293-316. DOI: 10.5553/RP/048647002016058003002

(1) Stiers, D. (2016). Het Effect van Politieke Sofisticatie op de (Intentie tot) Opkomst bij Eerste- en Tweederangsverkiezingen in België en Nederland. Res Publica: Tijdschrift voor Politicologie, 58(1), 5-36. DOI: 10.5553/RP/048647002016058001001

Book chapters

Stiers, D. (2023). EU Issue Voting in Simultaneous Elections: The Case of Belgium. In M. Costa Lobo (ed.), The Impact of EU Politicisation on Voting Behaviour in Europe (pp. 169-203). Cham: Palgrave Macmillan. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-29187-6

Articles in non peer-reviewed journals

Stiers, D., & Hooghe, M. (2025). ‘L’Etat PS’ komt niet terug. Samenleving en Politiek, 32(6), 11-16.

Stiers, D., Hooghe, M., Goubin, S., & Lewis-Beck, M. (2021). Ook Hoge Inkomens Steunen Progressieve Belastingen. Samenleving en Politiek, 28(9), 4-12.

Hooghe, M., & Stiers, D. (2019). Leren van Gent: Stemrecht op 16. Samenleving en Politiek, 26(8), 39-43.

Marien, S., Stiers, D., Turkenburg, E., & Vanbroekhoven, W. (2019). Voorspelbaar Voorspelbaar. Sterke Kopstukken Kunnen de Algemene Trend van hun Partij Zelden Echt Omkeren. Samenleving en Politiek, 26(6), 12–13.

Books (not peer-reviewed)

Hooghe, M., Stiers, D. (Eds.) (2020). Kiezen op 16. Het experiment in Gent. Leuven: Acco. ISBN: 978-94-6379-914-0.

Other

Besides scientific articles in academic journals, I have also been active in publishing blog posts (e.g., LSE Blog, “Stuk Rood Vlees“, SWAY), opinions pieces (e.g., “De Standaard” and “deredactie“), giving interviews (e.g. CNN, Belgian radio), etc. See my CV for more information.

Self-evidently, I also review papers. See my WoS profile.